할당(is_eligible) 기준. SRM 위반(⚠) 시 전 수치 참고치. 결론 = SRM 정상 + 경과 7일 이상. 핵심 분해: Pay CVR = Reach5 × Con-of-Reach5.
| 지표 | control | treatment |
|---|---|---|
| 상태 | shipped | shipped |
| 시작일 | 07-28 | 07-28 |
| 경과일 | 17 | 17 |
| ▼ Devices DB | 1,651 | 1,720 |
| └ 배정 비율 | 49% | 51% |
| └ SRM 위반 | ||
| └ Device → Message CVR | 25.9% | 27.3% |
| ▼ Messages DB | 428 | 470 |
| └ Reach5 | 12.4% | 12.2% |
| └ Reach10 | 8% | 8.8% |
| └ 발화/기기 | 16.6 | 14.3 |
| └ 이미지/기기 | 8.8 | 7.2 |
| ▼ Handoff App DB | 102 | 107 |
| └ Handoff % | 6.2% | 6.2% |
| ▼ New Cohort Pay | 32 | 37 |
| └ Pay CVR | 1.9% | 2.2% |
| └ Con Pay Devices | 7 | 13 |
| └ Web Pay Devices | 0 | 2 |
| └ RC Pay Devices | 25 | 22 |
| └ Con-of-Reach5 | 3.4% | 5.7% |
| └ Paid D1 Message Users | 6 | 11 |
| └ Paid D1 Message Retention | 18.8% | 29.7% |
| ▼ New Cohort Revenue | 1,380,500₩ | 1,445,800₩ |
| └ ARPU | 836₩ | 841₩ |
| └ ARPPU | 43,141₩ | 39,076₩ |
| ▼ New Cohort Refund | 110,000₩ | 198,000₩ |
| └ Cohort Refund Payers | 2 | 3 |
| └ D1 Cancel% | 28% | 31.8% |
| └ D3 Cancel% | 52% | 54.5% |
| ▼ User Messages | 7,099 | 6,726 |
| └ Images | 3,751 | 3,403 |
| └ Videos | 54 | 119 |
| └ Voices | 31 | 35 |
일별 추이
| cohort_date_kst | variant | devices | reach5_devices | payers | con_payers | revenue_krw |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | control | 183 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 88,000₩ |
| 2026-08-03 | treatment | 219 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 132,000₩ |
| 2026-08-02 | control | 272 | 46 | 6 | 2 | 423,500₩ |
| 2026-08-02 | treatment | 279 | 39 | 8 | 3 | 456,500₩ |
| 2026-08-01 | control | 327 | 43 | 11 | 1 | 517,000₩ |
| 2026-08-01 | treatment | 314 | 34 | 9 | 2 | 288,900₩ |
| 2026-07-31 | control | 259 | 30 | 4 | 1 | 165,000₩ |
| 2026-07-31 | treatment | 288 | 33 | 4 | 2 | 128,400₩ |
| 2026-07-30 | control | 282 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 44,000₩ |
| 2026-07-30 | treatment | 291 | 37 | 6 | 3 | 143,000₩ |
| 2026-07-29 | control | 302 | 31 | 4 | 2 | 121,000₩ |
| 2026-07-29 | treatment | 298 | 32 | 6 | 3 | 275,000₩ |
| 2026-07-28 | control | 26 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 22,000₩ |
| 2026-07-28 | treatment | 31 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 22,000₩ |